We’ve yet to get an answer to that because Mariota hasn’t played in a game for Las Vegas and based on Carr’s stats through three games, you’d think we wouldn’t see the Raiders move in that direction any time soon.īut I have two thoughts on this 2020 stat line by Carr:ħ4 of 100, 74-percent, 784 yards, 6 TD, 0 INT, 7.8 Y/A, 116.4 rating, five sacks, 8.28 adjusted net yards per pass attempt Dak's is eighth-lowest (eighth most difficult).- AdamJT13 October 22, 2019Ī 21:8 TD:INT ratio is supposed to be pretty good based on the passing stats I’ve spent most of my life being accustomed to, but it was not good enough to keep the Raiders from giving Mariota $7.5 million for one season in an effort to see if one of the other AFC Pro Bowl candidates from 2017 would score more in Gruden and Greg Olson’s system. NextGen has Carr with the highest expected completion % by far (easiest passes). These would appear to be encouraging signs, but Carr only threw 21 touchdowns and he had eight interceptions. He also raised his Y/A to 7.9, which is much closer to Brees territory than it is Bradford or Kirk Cousins (70.3-percent completions, 7.1 Y/A in 2018) territory. In 2019, Carr completed 70.4-percent of his passes, the fifth-highest mark in history behind three campaigns by Drew Brees and one by Sam Bradford. *that and the five-year, $125 million extension he signed in June, 2017 That seemed to be one area of strength for Gruden’s offense, if only the yards per attempt and touchdowns (Carr had only 19) were to go up. On a bad team, he was okay and was fifth in completion percentage. That season, Carr posted a career-high in completion percentage (68.9-percent), yards per attempt (7.3) and of Oakland’s four wins that season, three came via game-winning drives by Carr. Well, the reason for Carr keeping his job* and Bortles, Mariota and Dalton losing theirs is that his numbers did improve dramatically under Jon Gruden beginning in 2018. If Carr beats out five players who as of today are either backups, out of the league or on a practice squad (McCown), then really how close is Carr to joining them and not the five or six other Pro Bowl quarterbacks in 2017? Now comes the connecting of the dots that won’t necessarily spell good news for Las Vegas: Indeed, Carr’s competition for the spot was Blake Bortles, Marcus Mariota, Josh McCown, Andy Dalton and Jay Cutler. What Big Ben’s presence on this list for 2017 implies is that the AFC wasn’t bringing much heat to the party for the Pro Bowl that year. I don’t even expect most Raiders fans to defend Carr as a “Pro Bowl quarterback” with stats like this but what’s stranger is that Carr had a higher completion percentage than four other Pro Bowl QBs that season (Philip Rivers, Jared Goff, Russell Wilson, Carson Wentz), had a higher net yards per pass attempt than Wilson and was roughly the same statistically as another AFC Pro Bowl quarterback, Ben Roethlisberger. In 2017, a period of only three years ago, Derek Carr went to the Pro Bowl with a stat line of 62.7-percent completions, 22 touchdowns, 13 interceptions, 6.8 yards per attempt and a passer rating of 86.4.
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